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#collapse

23 posts21 participants3 posts today

Hi followers, help wanted.
I hear fosstodon.org is not a great place to be anymore. And other communities want to defederate from it.
I had no idea what was going on, but I don’t think I want to be here anymore.
Where should I move? I am from #Denmark, and it could for example be a Danish community. I am also into software development (not a brogrammer), generally interested in combating #climatechange and other #collapse aspects as well as tech #enshittification, and quite skeptical of #AI.

Thinking today about #bikes, complex #technology, iron and #steel, rubber and #collapse

As the system collapses in the coming years, we'll use simpler modes to travel less.

"Socialism will only arrive on a bicycle."

But look how complex today's bikes have become.

Illich saw global transport equity as optimal at the 3-speed bike.

But that too is quite complex.

We'll be restoring and simplifying bikes, but where will the new parts come from? Where will they be made?
/ Continues #degrowth

Paul Krugman: "So Trump has started a trade war that will disrupt our own supply chains. Remember Covid and its immediate aftermath? Remember how shortages spread through the economy and fueled inflation? Those days are about to come back, inflicting especially large damage on the manufacturing sector Trump claims he will revive."
#trade #China #USA #economics #tariffs #recession #depression #collapse
open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug

Paul Krugman · Why Trump Will Lose His Trade WarBy Paul Krugman

Not hard to understand why America voted Trump: 85% are innumerate, 70% scientifically illiterate, 40% believe in creationism, 62% have no college degree, 80% can only speak one language, 75% are obese or overweight, and most have no competency in history, geography, political philosophy, economics, civics, or foreign affairs.
#USpolitics #sociology #collapse #FailedState #Trumpism
robertreich.substack.com/p/ine

robertreich.substack.comIneptitude, incompetence, stupidity, and chaosTrump is fundamentally incapable of governing. That’s the theme that unites everything.

Proving conservatives know to how run the economy, like a fish knows how to ride a bicycle.

"With no orders to fill, Mr. Fulton rented out his home in Alaska and temporarily moved to Brazil, where his wife is from, because the cost of living is lower. And instead of closing deals with investors to raise more money, he is consulting a bankruptcy lawyer."
#collapse #economics #business #recession #depression #tariffs #trade
nytimes.com/2025/04/25/busines

Tim Fulton, who has spent years developing air cargo handling equipment, watched interested buyers disappear when tariffs forced him to raise his price.
The New York Times · Uncertainty Over Trump’s Tariffs Paralyzes U.S. BusinessesBy Daisuke Wakabayashi
Replied in thread

@cstross I actually hope so. We (all humans on this planet who live in modern societies) are deep in ecological #overshoot and can't just go on like this. The global economy is more than double the size a hypothetical sustainable economy could reach, we won't ever become sustainable unless the economy shrinks dramatically, which of course would mean the collapse of Capitalism. If Trump manages to speed up the inevitable #collapse of the world economy, we might slow down the ecological collapse for a while (but only if we can get rid of the oligarchs very quickly afterwards).
There is no way to avoid chaos and collapse now, but how and when certain systems collapse makes a huge difference for the future evolution of organic life on Earth, and whether the genus Homo is still a part of the biosphere for a few more millions of years or not.

A subset of the population wants to be ruled by strongmen, authoritarians who can punish perceived opponents, and illiberal autocrats contemptuous of the enlightenment project. It is evident in how many look to the mafia and its cinematic iterations as heroes. Trump is the destroyer; his MAGAts are the drug fuelled berserkers setting civilization aflame.
#collapse #Trumpism #liberalism #democracy #authoritarianism #mafia #legal
nytimes.com/2025/04/21/opinion

The New York Times · Opinion | M. Gessen: ‘Trump Is Building a Mafia State’By M. Gessen

#SAO #collapse probe shreds reputations
🧐"Why did SAO hire Forum Architect & Meinhardt (🇹🇭) to design SAO building at cost of Bt74mil.. since SAO's main duty's to check budgets allocated to ea #state #agency are spent appropriately, SAO shld set good eg by spending its own #budget wisely. It's a pity SAO didn't lead by eg. Instead, SAO took advantage of a legal loophole to hire e firms.. the image & reputation of SAO & #StateAudit Committee hv been tarnished beyond repair"
bangkokpost.com/opinion/opinio

Bangkok Post · SAO collapse probe shreds reputationsBy Veera Prateepchaikul

Tariffic

How ‘bout those tariffs? I’m sure the penguin delegation was instrumental in getting their implementation partially delayed. Seriously though, this is what happens when the president has no idea how anything actually works and then delegates the policy creation to AI. Yup, the whole tariff chart was likely created with AI. And if the tech bros have their way, the whole country will soon be run mostly by AI.

Capitalism, and with it modern civilization as the “developed” world has come to know it, was always going to collapse at some point because it is an unsustainably predicated on perpetual growth in a finite system. This is why Musk wants to go to Mars, Bezos to the Moon, and plenty of others talk seriously about mining asteroids. Without the Sam Altmans, Peter Thiels, and Elons Musks, capitalism probably would have stumbled along for a good many years to come. However, with the tech bros at the top of the money-power pyramid, the collapse is suddenly accelerating.

Even up to a few months ago mention of collapse was not likely to appear in any kind of mainstream media, even the more liberal ones. You’d need to tune into podcasts like Crazy Town where they talk about it on the regular. But when The Guardian publishes an article about a report from Allianz SE, one of the world’s largest insurance companies, that warns climate change is on track to destroy capitalism and Scientific American publishes an article about how big banks like Morgan Stanley are quietly preparing for climate catastrophe you know things are getting serious. Of course, neither of the articles mentions how the insurance industry or the global finance industry have played significant roles in creating the conditions of collapse while they continue to find ways to profit off of it.

Meanwhile, as Naomi Klein and Astra Taylor write, we find ourselves moving ever deeper into end times fascism. The super rich are building their bunkers and walled cities while they dismantle democracy. The tech bros are forthright about capitalism and democracy being incompatible. They cannot keep making money, using resources, and immiserating you and me unless all the guardrails of democracy are removed. So they make up lies about Venezuelan gang invasions, hoards of immigrants crossing the border, and trans people. They stop funding science and education and libraries. And then they start removing information from government websites about health and climate change, and anything that can be considered DEI or DEI adjacent. Because information is dangerous. If we know how to think, we can figure out how to resist.

All of the tech bros and a good many of the people who think like Robert Kennedy, are huge supporters of eugenics. It’s why Elon Musk pays women to have his children. It’s one reason why anti-vaxxers and health influencers are so self-righteous—if you are genetically worthy, the measles/COVID/other disease won’t kill you. Viruses are just Nature’s way of editing the gene pool.

The well-off know collapse is coming and that they, and their greedy capitalist fingers, are the reason for it. But they won’t ever say that and the mainstream will avoid talking about it for as long as possible because we wouldn’t want people to panic. Except people are panicking, we just don’t know what we are really panicking about. Those who suspect are being encouraged to prepare by buying guns, gold, ready-to-eat meals, to create our own mini bunkers so capitalism can make money off our panic.

It may seem nothing but doom and gloom, but it’s not. When you live in a dying civilization there are opportunities to create what comes next. What we do now, the ideas we talk about, the communities we create, and the positive futures we imagine make a difference. It is up to us as things fall apart to create the tools and vision to build something new and better.

Surveying possibilities, I recently read The Communist Manifesto for the first time. It is a fascinating and still relevant document. The analysis of capitalism is sharp and Marx and Engels are weirdly admiring of capitalism’s adaptability. They believed that capitalism’s end would come about by the rupture of revolution. I think at this point we are well beyond that sort of end. But even as capitalism collapses beneath its own weight, I do not agree with the communist future the pair imagined.

To go along with the Manifesto, I read China Miévile’s book A Spectre, Haunting. He provided very good historical context for the whole undertaking. Miéville, who considers himself a Communist, concludes his book by talking about hate. He says that Marx and Engels were very careful in the Manifesto to make it clear that we are to hate the system of capitalism and not the people who comprise the capitalist class—the bourgeoisie. A good and important distinction.

But then Miéville goes on to say for the sake of humanity, we must “hate harder” than the Manifesto. That “class hate is constitutive with and inextricable from solidarity.” He insists that we should “hate this hateful and hating and hatemongering system of cruelty.” He does say that we cannot celebrate or trust hate, that hate can easily turn on us. He quotes Che Guevara who said that the true revolutionary is “guided by a great feeling of love.” And then he does a bit of doublespeak by concluding his book: “It’s for the sake of love that, reading it today, we must hate more and better than even The Communist Manifesto knew how.”

That scares me more than straight up hate.

I recently read another book, Restoring the Kinship Worldview by Wahinkpe Topa (Four Arrows) and Darcia Narvaez. In one of the chapters Fours Arrows comments that it isn’t “so much about resisting [or hating in Miéville’s case] those who are destroying life systems,” but about loving those life systems so much that you work to save them.

That’s what I aim to do. As capitalism and civilization collapses, I will be loving as much and as hard as I can. Hate can do nothing but destroy. But love, love saves and love creates. Let’s create a new and better world together.

Blood in the Machine · This is what AI-generated trade policy looks likeBy Brian Merchant

Early medieval European collapse: How imbalanced social-ecological acceleration led to a tipping point

phys.org/news/2025-04-early-me

> Understanding the acceleration of human impacts on the environment is key to addressing the complex planetary and social challenges of the Anthropocene. But even as the inter-relatedness of environmental, political, and social processes becomes clearer, the conditions that produce sustainable outcomes remain little understood.

Phys.org · Early medieval European collapse: How imbalanced social-ecological acceleration led to a tipping pointBy Max Planck Society